Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.202773 0.236160 0.272729 0.315673 0.364640 0.418649 0.482640
2026-01-18 0.148439 0.194141 0.249486 0.321044 0.410669 0.518730 0.658353
2026-01-25 0.116199 0.166028 0.231120 0.321499 0.442706 0.598467 0.812401
2026-02-01 0.093445 0.143913 0.214171 0.317661 0.464431 0.663002 0.949358
2026-02-08 0.076640 0.126220 0.199252 0.312553 0.481212 0.719699 1.078162
2026-02-15 0.062284 0.109256 0.182193 0.300895 0.485601 0.757428 1.181494
2026-02-22 0.056854 0.105214 0.183719 0.316695 0.531339 0.857761 1.382675
2026-03-01 0.047807 0.093528 0.171230 0.308340 0.538041 0.899094 1.497582
2026-03-08 0.040019 0.082656 0.158411 0.297449 0.538792 0.930198 1.597792
2026-03-15 0.034247 0.074475 0.149013 0.290950 0.545580 0.970623 1.714829
2026-03-22 0.030964 0.070529 0.146640 0.296385 0.572934 1.046379 1.894460
2026-03-29 0.028929 0.068753 0.148028 0.308686 0.613246 1.146579 2.121564
2026-04-05 0.026409 0.065641 0.146590 0.315783 0.645332 1.236039 2.338689
2026-04-12 0.023734 0.061756 0.143122 0.318566 0.669702 1.313920 2.541651
2026-04-19 0.021179 0.057683 0.138674 0.318747 0.688855 1.383434 2.734007
2026-04-26 0.018643 0.053184 0.132667 0.314912 0.699545 1.437786 2.902036
2026-05-03 0.016357 0.048874 0.126461 0.309840 0.707060 1.486353 3.062125
2026-05-10 0.013963 0.043813 0.117795 0.298274 0.699883 1.505790 3.167958
2026-05-17 0.013467 0.043794 0.121070 0.313950 0.751559 1.644045 3.510991
2026-05-24 0.011712 0.039899 0.114332 0.305660 0.750629 1.677004 3.649877
2026-05-31 0.010067 0.035973 0.106931 0.294855 0.742984 1.695462 3.760672
2026-06-07 0.008827 0.033014 0.101595 0.288407 0.744447 1.732631 3.911277
2026-06-14 0.008204 0.031886 0.101016 0.293799 0.773663 1.830212 4.191829